UN Report Predicts $4.8T AI Market but Warns of Widening Digital Divide

Artificial Intelligence (AI) is projected to become a $4.8 trillion global market by 2033, comparable to Germany’s current economy. However, a new UN report warns that without immediate action, the benefits of AI may be confined to a select few, exacerbating global inequalities.

UN Report Predicts 4.8T AI Market - A seesaw with AI Giants and Developing Nations on each end Credit - ChatGPT, The AI Track
UN Report Predicts 4.8T AI Market - A seesaw with AI Giants and Developing Nations on each end Credit - ChatGPT, The AI Track

UN Report Predictions – Key Points

  • Concentration of Investment: According to the Technology and Innovation Report 2025 by the UN Conference on Trade and Development (UNCTAD), 100 companies, primarily based in the United States and China, account for 40% of the world’s private investment in AI research and development. This concentration underscores a significant imbalance in technological advancement and economic power.
  • Global Participation Disparity: The UN report highlights that 118 countries, predominantly from the Global South, are absent from international AI governance discussions. This exclusion raises concerns about equitable representation and the potential for a widening digital divide.
  • Impact on Employment: UNCTAD estimates that up to 40% of global jobs could be influenced by AI technologies. While AI offers opportunities for productivity enhancements and the creation of new industries, there are significant concerns about automation leading to job displacement, especially in economies that rely on low-cost labor.
  • Developing Nations’ Contribution and Challenges: Developing countries significantly contribute to AI development through data annotation labor. Despite this, they face limited access to advanced AI technologies and are caught between divergent regulatory approaches from democratic and authoritarian tendencies. This situation presents a complex choice between accessibility and governance standards, necessitating new institutional mechanisms for technology transfer and regulatory cooperation.
  • Recommendations for Developing Nations: To prevent marginalization in the AI era, developing countries are advised to focus on three critical areas:
    • Infrastructure: Investing in fast and reliable internet connectivity, along with the necessary computing power to process large datasets.
    • Data Access: Ensuring availability of diverse and high-quality datasets to train AI systems effectively and fairly.
    • Skill Development: Building educational systems that provide digital and problem-solving skills essential for success in an AI-driven world.
  • Call for International Collaboration: UNCTAD advocates for enhanced global cooperation to guide AI development. The report proposes establishing a shared global facility to provide all countries with equitable access to computing resources and AI tools. Additionally, it recommends creating a public disclosure framework for AI, akin to existing environmental, social, and governance (ESG) standards, to promote transparency and accountability.

Why This Matters: The rapid advancement of AI holds the potential to reshape global economies and labor markets significantly. Without proactive measures, existing inequalities may be exacerbated, leaving many countries and populations behind. Strategic investments in infrastructure, data accessibility, and education, coupled with international cooperation and responsible AI development practices, are essential to ensure that the benefits of AI are broadly shared and contribute to inclusive global development.

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